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Updated 13 hr. ago
Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Karen Khachanov (+1.5)
100 %
chance
Market brief
- Up 44.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 50% on Oct 25, 2026.
- Historically, 96% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 95–100% seven days before the end resolved YES (183 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 7 days (Nov 3, 2026).
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Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz
4 outcomes- Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 21.5100 %
- Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5100 %
- Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner0 %
- Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz0 %
Total volume
$10K
24h vol.
$9.9K
1w vol.
$10K
1m vol.
$10K
Liquidity
$38.7K
Bid / Ask
99¢ / 100¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
51¢
Start date
Oct 25, 2026
End date
Nov 3, 2026
ends in 7 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 183 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 96.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (8)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 29 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 666 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 35 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 851 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 5 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 55¢ | 2 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 55¢ | 240 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 58¢ | 48 |
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