Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?

Market brief

• Down 14.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 79% on Oct 28, 2026.
• Last 10 trades: 8 buys, 2 sells; the largest was $31 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
• Historically, 54% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 35–65% one day before the end resolved YES (154 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 17 hr. (Nov 3, 2026).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 154 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 35–65% one day before resolution, 53.9% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.6%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
• Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
• Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

Related markets

The most-traded open Crypto markets from other events.

• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?1 %▼ −6.3%
• Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?71 %▼ −7.5%
• Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 2?2 %▲ +0.0%
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?2 %▼ −0.9%
• Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 2?1 %▲ +0.0%
• Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?34 %▼ −16.5%

Keep exploring