Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?

Market brief

• Up 47.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 21% on Nov 4, 2026.
• Historically, 85% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% one day before the end resolved YES (979 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 23 hr. (Nov 5, 2026).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 979 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% one day before resolution, 85.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points less often than their average price of 90.0% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
• Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
• Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

Related markets

The most-traded open Crypto markets from other events.

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