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Updated 2 hr. ago

Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?

Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?

Sports

48 %

chance

▲ +8.5%24h▼ −2.5%1W
Yes 48¢No 53¢
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Market brief

  • Up 8.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 39% on Nov 10, 2026.
  • Historically, 51% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% one day before the end resolved YES (13,322 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 3 days (Nov 15, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)

6 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$218.746

24h vol.

$218.746

Liquidity

$3.3K

End date

Nov 15, 2026

ends in 3 days

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  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

Bid / Ask

45¢ / 50¢

Spread 5¢

Last trade

50¢

Start date

Oct 31, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 5¢
Bids (buy)Size
45¢$5
44¢$69
39¢$1,450
30¢$10
29¢$2,000
25¢$366
24¢$1,733
23¢$162
22¢$140
20¢$360
Asks (sell)Size
50¢$1,583
58¢$5
59¢$10
60¢$10
71¢$1,290
72¢$226
73¢$24
74¢$69
75¢$149
76¢$104

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (8)

Buys 92%Sells 8%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 hr. agoSell44¢36
4 hr. agoBuy50¢210
8 hr. agoBuy50¢100
9 hr. agoBuy50¢6
12 hr. agoBuy50¢7
18 hr. agoBuy50¢2
22 hr. agoBuy50¢100
23 hr. agoBuy50¢3
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ciryl Gane defeats Josh Hokit at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Event:
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Resolution source:
https://www.ufc.com/events

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