← Dashboard · Sports
Updated 25 min. ago
Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado
7 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 56.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 74% on Nov 3, 2026.
- Historically, 14% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (917 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 7 days (Nov 11, 2026).
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Total volume
$126.9K
24h vol.
$131.1K
1w vol.
$131.1K
1m vol.
$131.1K
Liquidity
$136.9K
Bid / Ask
6¢ / 7¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
16¢
Start date
Nov 3, 2026
End date
Nov 11, 2026
ends in 7 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 917 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 3.9 points more often than their average price of 9.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades
Failed to load trades: Upstream request failed (410) for https://data-api.polymarket.com/trades?market=0x15b3fc114f6a1df804cb49257ef3708c523d922783820646b5733d6e317fd90c&limit=50&takerOnly=true
Related markets
The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.
- Philadelphia vs Detroit — Philadelphia70 %▲ +24.0%
- Toledo vs Sacramento St. — Sacramento St.28 %▲ +22.0%
- LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner100 %▲ +18.5%
- Atlanta vs Washington — Washington30 %▼ −14.0%
- Ball St. vs UMass — UMass50 %▼ −10.0%
- Ball St. vs UMass: Spread — UMass wins by over 2.5 points44 %▼ −13.0%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.