← Dashboard · Sports
Updated 4 hr. ago
Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Alex Michelsen (+1.5)
59 %
chance
Market brief
- Historically, 49% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before the end resolved YES (10,060 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 7 days (Nov 11, 2026).
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz
3 outcomes- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.559 %
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 21.549 %
- Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz0 %
Total volume
$1.2K
24h vol.
$1.2K
1w vol.
$1.2K
1m vol.
$1.2K
Liquidity
$11.1K
Bid / Ask
57¢ / 60¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
57¢
Start date
Nov 4, 2026
End date
Nov 11, 2026
ends in 7 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 10,060 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades
Failed to load trades: Upstream request failed (410) for https://data-api.polymarket.com/trades?market=0x03a3a1bdf604705acabd11266db7a8bc50ea087d363a93c8129d5436fa63d230&limit=50&takerOnly=true
Related markets
The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.