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Updated 1 day ago

Set Handicap: Aryna Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Mirra Andreeva (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Aryna Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Mirra Andreeva (+1.5)

Sports

30 %

Aryna Sabalenka

▼ −20.0%24h
Aryna Sabalenka 30¢Mirra Andreeva 71¢

Market brief

  • Down 20.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 64% on Nov 10, 2026.
  • Historically, 30% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (3,828 cases). That is more often than their average price of 26% implied — prices in this range have run low.
  • Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 17, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Total volume

$285.714

24h vol.

$285.714

Liquidity

$16.9K

End date

Nov 17, 2026

ends in 6 days

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

Bid / Ask

28¢ / 31¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

35¢

Start date

Nov 8, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
33¢$250
32¢$672
31¢$589
30¢$7,845
29¢$1,901
28¢$1,302
26¢$1,000
24¢$1,000
21¢$2,000
20¢$15
Asks (sell)Size
35¢$505
50¢$1,401
51¢$502
67¢$1,611
68¢$13
74¢$15
83¢$294
99¢$96

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (1)

Buys 100%Sells 0%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoBuy35¢286
Rules & resolution

This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Mirra Andreeva in the WTA Finals, Group B, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aryna Sabalenka" if Aryna Sabalenka wins by 2 or more sets than Mirra Andreeva, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Mirra Andreeva." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Aryna Sabalenka can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Mirra Andreeva." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Event:
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva

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