Updated 1 day ago

Set Handicap: Aryna Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Mirra Andreeva (+1.5)
30 %
Aryna Sabalenka
Market brief
- Down 20.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 64% on Nov 10, 2026.
- Historically, 30% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (3,828 cases). That is more often than their average price of 26% implied — prices in this range have run low.
- Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 17, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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✦ AI assessment
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WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
5 outcomes- Completed Match66 %
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva Match O/U 21.558 %
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva51 %
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva Total Sets: O/U 2.545 %
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva Set Handicap +/-1.530 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$285.714
24h vol.
$285.714
Liquidity
$16.9K
End date
Nov 17, 2026
ends in 6 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
Bid / Ask
28¢ / 31¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
35¢
Start date
Nov 8, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (1)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day ago | Buy | 35¢ | 286 |
Rules & resolution
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Mirra Andreeva in the WTA Finals, Group B, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aryna Sabalenka" if Aryna Sabalenka wins by 2 or more sets than Mirra Andreeva, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Mirra Andreeva." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Aryna Sabalenka can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Mirra Andreeva." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
- Event:
- WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
- Resolution source:
- https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
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