Updated 9 min. ago

Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tom Gentzsch
53 %
Benjamin Bonzi
Market brief
- Down 29.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 83% on Nov 11, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 13 buys, 37 sells; the largest was $200 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 49% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before the end resolved YES (10,748 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 7 days (Nov 18, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tom Gentzsch
2 outcomes- Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tom Gentzsch53 %
- Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tom Gentzsch Match O/U 21.551 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$151.8K
24h vol.
$151.6K
Liquidity
$199.2K
End date
Nov 18, 2026
ends in 7 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Smart moneyPro+There is a current smart-money reading on this market: how the wallets whose record holds up are positioned.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
Bid / Ask
52¢ / 53¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
53¢
Start date
Nov 10, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 min. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 56 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 201 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 10 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 392 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 150 |
| 12 min. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 83 |
| 13 min. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 5 |
| 13 min. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 5 |
| 13 min. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 20 |
| 13 min. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 5 |
| 13 min. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 5 |
| 13 min. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 56 |
| 13 min. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 60 |
| 13 min. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 5 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 5 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 152 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 5 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 8 |
| 14 min. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 18 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 32 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 5 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 5 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 5 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 57¢ | 5 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 59¢ | 5 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 59¢ | 5 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 395 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 5 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 5 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 61¢ | 10 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 61¢ | 31 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 61¢ | 16 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 61¢ | 300 |
| 14 min. ago | Sell | 61¢ | 118 |
| 15 min. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 70 |
| 15 min. ago | Sell | 61¢ | 10 |
| 15 min. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 300 |
| 15 min. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 30 |
| 15 min. ago | Sell | 58¢ | 24 |
| 15 min. ago | Sell | 59¢ | 27 |
| 15 min. ago | Sell | 59¢ | 5 |
| 15 min. ago | Sell | 58¢ | 5 |
| 15 min. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 250 |
| 15 min. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 6 |
| 15 min. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 115 |
| 15 min. ago | Sell | 59¢ | 5 |
| 15 min. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 30 |
| 15 min. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 6 |
| 15 min. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 5 |
| 15 min. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 6 |
Rules & resolution
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Bonzi and Tom Gentzsch in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Tom Gentzsch. This market will resolve to 'Tom Gentzsch' if Tom Gentzsch advances against Benjamin Bonzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Event:
- Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tom Gentzsch
- Resolution source:
- https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
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