Updated 41 min. ago

Lima: Alan Magadan vs Alex Barrena
100 %
Alan Magadan
Market brief
- At 100%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
- Up 50.9 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 5% on Nov 12, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 22 buys, 28 sells; the largest was $1.88K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 96% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 95–100% seven days before the end resolved YES (189 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 7 days (Nov 19, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$185.3K
24h vol.
$141.8K
Liquidity
$85.5K
End date
Nov 19, 2026
ends in 7 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
Bid / Ask
100¢ / 100¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
100¢
Start date
Nov 11, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 min. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 5 |
| 46 min. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 800 |
| 46 min. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 3 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 3 |
| 47 min. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 9 |
| 47 min. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 42 |
| 47 min. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 5,793 |
| 47 min. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 50 |
| 47 min. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 5 |
| 47 min. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 276 |
| 47 min. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 32 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 6 |
| 47 min. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 217 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 148 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 36 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 132 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 133 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 133 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 133 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 5 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 133 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 15 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 132 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 5 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 5 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 5 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 5 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 5 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 20 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 31 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 36 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 25 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 79 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 42 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 33 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 5,793 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 114 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 114 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 116 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 116 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 116 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 116 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 116 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 116 |
| 49 min. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 230 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 2 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 62 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 32 |
| 50 min. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 200 |
| 50 min. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 1 |
Rules & resolution
This market refers to the tennis match between Alan Magadan and Alex Barrena in the Lima, originally scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alan Magadan' if Alan Magadan advances against Alex Barrena. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Alan Magadan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Event:
- Lima: Alan Magadan vs Alex Barrena
- Resolution source:
- https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
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