Updated 42 min. ago

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?
6 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 49.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 63% on Nov 10, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 17 buys, 33 sells; the largest was $398 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Scheduled to end in 10 hr. (Nov 13, 2026).
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GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
6 outcomesUnderstand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$43.8K
24h vol.
$27K
Liquidity
$2.5K
End date
Nov 13, 2026
ends in 10 hr.
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$43.8K
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 8¢
Spread 4¢
Last trade
11¢
Start date
Nov 6, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 6¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 min. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 25 |
| 46 min. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 10 |
| 46 min. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 102 |
| 47 min. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 3 |
| 47 min. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 992 |
| 52 min. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 3 |
| 52 min. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 1,100 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 87 |
| 55 min. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 117 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 1 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 14 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 2 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 10 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 459 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 35 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 12 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 73 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 443 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 11 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 116 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 18 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 16 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 31 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 116 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 50 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 15 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 26 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 327 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 86 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 13 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 80 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 111 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 9 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 23 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 59 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 388 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 466 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 15 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 66 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 16 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 4 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 319 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 2 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 60 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 40 |
Rules & resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
- Event:
- GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
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