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Updated 4 hr. ago

Set Handicap: Holger Rune (-1.5) vs Miomir Kecmanovic (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Holger Rune (-1.5) vs Miomir Kecmanovic (+1.5)

Sports

47 %

Holger Rune

▲ +0.5%1h▲ +0.0%24h
Holger Rune 47¢Miomir Kecmanovic 53¢
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Market brief

  • Last 12 trades: 9 buys, 3 sells; the largest was $1.5K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 49% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before the end resolved YES (10,748 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 7 days (Nov 18, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune

2 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$3.7K

24h vol.

$3.7K

Liquidity

$16.6K

End date

Nov 18, 2026

ends in 7 days

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

Bid / Ask

45¢ / 48¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

47¢

Start date

Nov 11, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
45¢$55
44¢$5,155
43¢$14,489
42¢$3,901
41¢$3,371
40¢$680
38¢$200
36¢$200
33¢$300
32¢$9
Asks (sell)Size
47¢$5
48¢$2,090
49¢$2,485
50¢$2,671
51¢$223
52¢$121
53¢$825
54¢$502
55¢$200
58¢$300

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (12)

Buys 31%Sells 69%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 hr. agoBuy47¢12
4 hr. agoBuy47¢355
4 hr. agoSell46¢2
4 hr. agoSell46¢2,800
4 hr. agoBuy47¢262
5 hr. agoBuy47¢9
5 hr. agoSell45¢11
8 hr. agoBuy46¢11
8 hr. agoBuy46¢23
9 hr. agoBuy47¢143
10 hr. agoBuy47¢53
15 hr. agoBuy49¢384
Rules & resolution

This market refers to the tennis match between Holger Rune and Miomir Kecmanovic in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Holger Rune" if Holger Rune wins by 2 or more sets than Miomir Kecmanovic, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Miomir Kecmanovic." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Holger Rune can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Miomir Kecmanovic." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Event:
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune
Resolution source:
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

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