Updated 1 hr. ago

Set Handicap: Taylor Fritz (-1.5) vs Holger Rune (+1.5)
43 %
Taylor Fritz
Market brief
- Last 19 trades: 10 buys, 9 sells; the largest was $1.27K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 49% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before the end resolved YES (10,776 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 7 days (Nov 19, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Holger Rune
3 outcomes- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Holger Rune Match O/U 22.557 %
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Holger Rune51 %
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Holger Rune Set Handicap +/-1.543 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$1.1K
24h vol.
$1.1K
Liquidity
$17.6K
End date
Nov 19, 2026
ends in 7 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
Bid / Ask
42¢ / 43¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
45¢
Start date
Nov 12, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (19)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 2 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 2 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 13 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 282 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 15 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 10 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 2 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 6 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 22 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 1,465 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 21 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 2,810 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 685 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 300 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 17 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 11 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 600 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 339 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 199 |
Rules & resolution
This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Holger Rune in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Taylor Fritz" if Taylor Fritz wins by 2 or more sets than Holger Rune, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Holger Rune." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Taylor Fritz can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Holger Rune." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
- Event:
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Holger Rune
- Resolution source:
- https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
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