Updated 41 min. ago

BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Holger Rune
51 %
Taylor Fritz
Market brief
- Last 50 trades: 31 buys, 19 sells; the largest was $1.02K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 49% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before the end resolved YES (10,776 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 7 days (Nov 19, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Holger Rune
3 outcomes- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Holger Rune Match O/U 22.557 %
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Holger Rune51 %
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Holger Rune Set Handicap +/-1.543 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$129.7K
24h vol.
$129.7K
Liquidity
$58.7K
End date
Nov 19, 2026
ends in 7 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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- Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
Bid / Ask
50¢ / 51¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
50¢
Start date
Nov 12, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 20 |
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 9 |
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 2,000 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 20 |
| 43 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 10 |
| 44 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 23 |
| 44 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 20 |
| 44 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 330 |
| 44 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 98 |
| 45 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 450 |
| 45 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 20 |
| 45 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 15 |
| 46 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 24 |
| 46 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 35 |
| 46 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 156 |
| 46 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 9 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 113 |
| 47 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 86 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 4 |
| 47 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 3 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 59 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 20 |
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 59 |
| 49 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 29 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 29 |
| 49 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 47 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 294 |
| 49 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 30 |
| 49 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 2 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 26 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 2 |
| 50 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 39 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 120 |
| 50 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 10 |
| 50 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 196 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 20 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 196 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 38 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 135 |
| 51 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 210 |
| 52 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 56 |
| 52 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 39 |
| 52 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 20 |
| 52 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 5 |
| 52 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 20 |
| 52 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 200 |
| 52 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 1 |
| 52 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 22 |
| 53 min. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 196 |
| 53 min. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 5 |
Rules & resolution
This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Holger Rune in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Holger Rune. This market will resolve to 'Holger Rune' if Holger Rune advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Event:
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Holger Rune
- Resolution source:
- https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
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