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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2 %
chance
F1 Drivers' Champion
13 outcomesTotal volume
$6.5M
24h vol.
$651
1w vol.
$31.7K
1m vol.
$342.9K
Liquidity
$305.7K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 2¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
2¢
Start date
Dec 9, 2025
End date
Dec 6, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 124 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 23 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 101 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 0 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 16 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 16 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 50 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 50 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 50 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 50 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 50 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 50 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 50 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 50 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 28 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 28 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 167 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 167 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 167 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 65 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 101 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 167 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 162 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 28 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 28 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 8 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 8 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 50 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 50 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 171 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 26 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 130 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 4 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 4 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 95 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 92 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 3 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 28 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 28 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 7 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 7 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 7 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 7 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 84 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 35 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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