F1 Drivers' Champion odds
Live implied probabilities across 14 outcomes · $111M traded · updated 3 hr. ago
Resolves Dec 6, 2026
Kimi Antonelli leads at 97 % · biggest 24h move: Max Verstappen +0.1 pp
#OutcomeChance24hVolume7d
- 1Kimi Antonelli97 %—$4.8M
- 2Max Verstappen2 %▲ +0.1%$6.5M
- 3George Russell0 %—$3.1M
- 4Lewis Hamilton0 %—$5.6M
- 5Lando Norris0 %—$7M
- 6Charles Leclerc0 %—$5.5M
- 7Oscar Piastri0 %—$6.5M
- 8Isack Hadjar0 %—$9.4M
- 9Fernando Alonso0 %—$9.1M
- 10Lance Stroll0 %—$11.7M
- 11Esteban Ocon0 %—$9.5M
- 12Oliver Bearman0 %—$12.9M
Show all 14 outcomesShow fewer
Market Guy's AI runs research on these markets daily — sign up to see where it disagrees.
See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in F1 Drivers' Champion?
- Kimi Antonelli is the current favourite at 97 %, ahead of 13 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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