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Resolved market

Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Result

YES

Final YES price
100%
7 days before
10%
1 day before
3%
Volume
$1.4M

How surprising was this result?

Seven days before the end, the market priced YES at 10%.

Among 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced in the same range, a result like this one happened 10% of the time — roughly one in 10.

Prediction market accuracy, measured

This market has resolved and is no longer traded. The figures are the last recorded before the end.