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Resolved market

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Result

NO

Final YES price
0%
7 days before
90%
1 day before
97%
Volume
$1.8M

How surprising was this result?

Seven days before the end, the market priced YES at 90%.

Among 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced in the same range, a result like this one happened 12% of the time — roughly one in 8.

Prediction market accuracy, measured

This market has resolved and is no longer traded. The figures are the last recorded before the end.