Resolved
Fed decision in july 181: the result
This event has resolved. Below: how each outcome settled, and what the market priced a week and a day before the end.
Resolved Jul 29, 2026 · $143.9M
- Resolved YES: Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
| Outcome | Result | 7 days before | 1 day before |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | YES | 77% | 72% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | NO | 23% | 23% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | NO | 1% | 1% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | NO | 0% | 0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | NO | 0% | 0% |