Daily recap
Prediction market recap — Aug 20, 2026
The moves that mattered across Polymarket, plus where the AI disagreed with the market. Fresh every day — no signup.
This is an archived recap. See today's latest recap.
Top moves
Biggest 24-hour price swings on the public markets.
1
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?100¢▲ +99.5%2
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 August 17-23?100¢▲ +99.3%3Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 20?99¢▲ +98.5%4Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 17-23?100¢▲ +98.3%5
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23?100¢▲ +97.7%6Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?100¢▲ +97.3%
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?100¢▲ +99.5%2Will Ethereum reach $2,300 August 17-23?100¢▲ +99.3%3Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 20?99¢▲ +98.5%4Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 17-23?100¢▲ +98.3%5Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23?100¢▲ +97.7%6Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?100¢▲ +97.3%Where AI disagrees with the market
The widest gaps between the market price and the AI's research-based estimate.
Fresh AI research
Markets our AI analysed most recently.
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