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Updated 2 min. ago

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

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39 %

chance

▼ −1.7%1h▲ +4.4%24h▼ −6.0%1W
Yes 39¢No 61¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

4 outcomes

Total volume

$3.7M

24h vol.

$163.2K

1w vol.

$515.5K

1m vol.

$1.8M

Liquidity

$162.5K

Bid / Ask

39¢ / 39¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

39¢

Start date

Jul 27, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
39¢$1,312
38¢$22
38¢$369
37¢$1,500
37¢$2,972
37¢$334
37¢$200
37¢$837
36¢$10
36¢$232
Asks (sell)Size
39¢$497
39¢$422
39¢$813
40¢$243
40¢$2,220
40¢$2,547
40¢$410
41¢$1,004
41¢$408
41¢$94

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 61%Sells 39%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
44 min. agoBuy62¢302
44 min. agoSell62¢166
44 min. agoSell62¢137
44 min. agoBuy62¢63
44 min. agoSell62¢63
44 min. agoBuy61¢303
44 min. agoSell61¢176
44 min. agoSell61¢127
44 min. agoBuy61¢303
44 min. agoSell61¢73
44 min. agoSell61¢200
44 min. agoBuy39¢30
44 min. agoBuy61¢36
44 min. agoSell61¢28
44 min. agoBuy39¢8
53 min. agoBuy40¢6
53 min. agoBuy60¢6
56 min. agoBuy61¢5
56 min. agoBuy39¢5
56 min. agoBuy61¢230
56 min. agoBuy40¢200
56 min. agoSell61¢30
56 min. agoBuy60¢697
56 min. agoSell60¢200
56 min. agoBuy40¢405
56 min. agoBuy40¢50
56 min. agoSell60¢2
56 min. agoBuy40¢20
56 min. agoBuy40¢20
1 hr. agoSell60¢20
1 hr. agoBuy60¢3
1 hr. agoBuy60¢17
1 hr. agoSell40¢20
1 hr. agoSell60¢20
1 hr. agoSell40¢8
1 hr. agoSell60¢8
1 hr. agoBuy60¢17
1 hr. agoBuy40¢17
1 hr. agoSell40¢20
1 hr. agoBuy40¢20
1 hr. agoSell59¢45
1 hr. agoBuy59¢20
1 hr. agoBuy59¢17
1 hr. agoBuy59¢7
1 hr. agoSell59¢20
1 hr. agoBuy59¢13
1 hr. agoBuy59¢7
1 hr. agoSell40¢467
1 hr. agoBuy40¢54
1 hr. agoBuy40¢13

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