Daily recap
Prediction market recap — Aug 30, 2026
The moves that mattered across Polymarket, plus where the AI disagreed with the market. Fresh every day — no signup.
This is an archived recap. See today's latest recap.
Top moves
Biggest 24-hour price swings on the public markets.
1
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?92¢▲ +74.5%2
Valorant: MIBR vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winner0¢▼ −68.0%3
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?100¢▲ +67.7%4
Will BetBoom Make a Roster Change before September?18¢▼ −61.0%5
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?100¢▲ +58.6%6
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?7¢▼ −56.5%
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?92¢▲ +74.5%2Valorant: MIBR vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winner0¢▼ −68.0%3Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?100¢▲ +67.7%4Will BetBoom Make a Roster Change before September?18¢▼ −61.0%5Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?100¢▲ +58.6%6Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?7¢▼ −56.5%Where AI disagrees with the market
The widest gaps between the market price and the AI's research-based estimate.
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Market 100%AI 38%+62 pp gap
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Market 4%AI 59%-54 pp gap
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Market 51%AI 92%-42 pp gap
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Market 28%AI 8%+21 pp gapFresh AI research
Markets our AI analysed most recently.
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