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Updated 15 min. ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
18 %
chance
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$1.5M
24h vol.
$47.7K
1w vol.
$179.2K
1m vol.
$310.8K
Liquidity
$27.8K
Bid / Ask
17¢ / 18¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
17¢
Start date
May 19, 2026
End date
Jan 5, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 9 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 9 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 41,802 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 692 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 1,001 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 300 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 25,711 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 878 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 50 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 50 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 1,624 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 357 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 1,111 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 742 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 1,200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 59 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 300 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 2,000 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 2,000 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 398 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 327 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 55 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 50 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 1,111 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 16 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 281 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 343 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 293 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 239 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 200 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 90 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 100 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 372 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 261 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 61 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 50 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 174 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 174 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 397 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 397 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 2 |
◆ Smart money
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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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