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Daily recap

Prediction market recap — Sep 20, 2026

The moves that mattered across Polymarket, plus where the AI disagreed with the market. Fresh every day — no signup.

This is an archived recap. See today's latest recap.

Top moves

Biggest 24-hour price swings on the public markets.

1When will Kyle Whittingham leave Michigan? — Before Dec 1, 202651¢▼ −98.0%2Jackson Koivun: Golf Majors before 2036 — 4+ golf major championship wins52¢▼ −84.0%3Will Anna Bright qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?91¢▲ +83.5%4Will Jorja Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?89¢▲ +81.5%5Will Zemun be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?92¢▲ +80.0%6When will Dabo Swinney leave Clemson? — Before Dec 1, 202642¢▲ +79.0%

Where AI disagrees with the market

The widest gaps between the market price and the AI's research-based estimate.

US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?+48 pp gapUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?+37 pp gapWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?-21 pp gapVikings vs. BearsVikings vs. Bears-20 pp gap

Fresh AI research

Markets our AI analysed most recently.

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?6¢NO vs. BAL: O/U 46.5NO vs. BAL: O/U 46.548¢US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?83¢Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?95¢

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