France
3-0-1 · 1st Group A1
48 %Polymarket
Italy
2-1-1 · 2nd Group A1
27 %Polymarket
Draw: 27 %
Sportsbook lines: Total 2.5 · 2 books · Compare venues
Markets on this game
Every market linked to this game on Polymarket and Kalshi. A market is linked only when both sides and the date match.
| Market | Venue | Type | Yes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-11-12? | Polymarket | Winner | 48 % |
| Will Italy win on 2026-11-12? | Polymarket | Winner | 27 % |
| Will Italy vs. France end in a draw? | Polymarket | Winner | 27 % |
| Italy vs France — France | Kalshi | Winner | 49 % |
| Italy vs France — Italy | Kalshi | Winner | 27 % |
| Italy vs France — Tie | Kalshi | Winner | 25 % |
3 more markets on this game
Spreads, totals and the full market list come with a plan — so does the AI match scan below.
Create an accountThis game is compared across Polymarket, Kalshi and 4 US sportsbooks.
Prices side by side, the sportsbook consensus without the margin and where the venues disagree — part of Pro+.
Create an accountAI match scan
Form, availability, venue and each side's strengths and weaknesses for France at Italy — researched with sources, with an estimate next to the market price.
What the scan covers
- Injuries, suspensions and starters from official reports — marked as not yet announced rather than guessed
- The last five results, rest and travel, and each side's strengths and weaknesses measured over the season or the last ten games
- Where one side's strength meets the other's weakness
- Head-to-head where it means something, plus venue, weather or surface
- Bookmaker consensus from at least two named books, with the margin removed
- An AI estimate next to the market price, with its confidence — a second opinion to check, not a tip
- What the main linked markets count: regular time or overtime, and what happens on a postponement
- Dated next steps such as line-up releases, and what would change the picture
On Pro+, the scan runs on the stronger reasoning model and adds the game's Kalshi price, smart-money positioning and measured US bookmaker prices — with an explanation of where the venues disagree.
Every scan uses one of your research credits.
How these markets resolve
Match markets on soccer settle on the result after regular time plus stoppage time — extra time and penalties normally do not count. A "Will X win?" market therefore resolves No on a draw. Postponed matches usually have a deadline after which the market settles by its fallback rule.
Questions
When and where is France at Italy?
The start time above is shown in your time zone; the venue comes from the official schedule as listed by ESPN. Times can still move — the page updates twice an hour.
What do the percentages mean?
They are the live Yes prices of the linked prediction markets: what traders currently pay for each outcome. They are not a forecast of ours — the AI match scan gives its own estimate separately.
Why do Nations League prices move when squads are announced?
National coaches name their squads about a week before each window, and players with minor injuries are often withdrawn. A team's strength on the day depends on who actually travels.