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Updated 35 min. ago

Will France win on 2026-11-12?

Will France win on 2026-11-12?

Sports

48 %

chance

▼ −2.0%24h▼ −6.5%1W
Yes 48¢No 53¢

Market brief

  • Down 6.5 pp over the past week (−2.0 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 56% on Nov 9, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 48 buys, 2 sells; the largest was $348 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Scheduled to end in 4 hr. (Nov 12, 2026).

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50%
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Italy vs. France

3 outcomes
See all 3 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$288.4K

24h vol.

$205.8K

Liquidity

$284.7K

End date

Nov 12, 2026

ends in 4 hr.

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$287.7K

Bid / Ask

47¢ / 48¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

48¢

Start date

Oct 30, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
47¢$26,081
46¢$33,762
45¢$26,638
44¢$21,659
43¢$22,951
42¢$14,451
41¢$6,119
40¢$1,022
38¢$1,000
36¢$142
Asks (sell)Size
48¢$120,641
49¢$139,075
50¢$38,636
51¢$39,149
52¢$19,863
53¢$6,401
54¢$4,659
55¢$4,858
56¢$7,765
57¢$5,040

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 94%Sells 6%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
35 min. agoBuy48¢70
36 min. agoBuy48¢74
36 min. agoBuy48¢19
36 min. agoBuy48¢9
36 min. agoBuy48¢236
36 min. agoBuy48¢726
36 min. agoSell47¢300
36 min. agoBuy48¢23
36 min. agoBuy48¢42
36 min. agoBuy48¢2
36 min. agoBuy48¢392
36 min. agoBuy48¢3
37 min. agoBuy48¢98
37 min. agoBuy48¢10
37 min. agoBuy48¢3
37 min. agoBuy48¢9
37 min. agoBuy48¢20
37 min. agoBuy48¢41
37 min. agoBuy48¢49
37 min. agoBuy48¢98
37 min. agoBuy48¢10
37 min. agoBuy48¢49
38 min. agoBuy48¢57
38 min. agoBuy48¢295
38 min. agoBuy48¢39
38 min. agoBuy48¢49
38 min. agoBuy48¢59
38 min. agoBuy48¢98
38 min. agoBuy48¢516
38 min. agoBuy48¢60
38 min. agoBuy48¢98
39 min. agoSell47¢18
39 min. agoBuy48¢19
39 min. agoBuy48¢334
39 min. agoBuy48¢98
39 min. agoBuy48¢3
39 min. agoBuy48¢3
39 min. agoBuy48¢3
39 min. agoBuy48¢98
39 min. agoBuy48¢197
39 min. agoBuy48¢20
39 min. agoBuy48¢49
40 min. agoBuy48¢92
40 min. agoBuy48¢98
41 min. agoBuy48¢19
41 min. agoBuy48¢294
41 min. agoBuy48¢52
41 min. agoBuy48¢9
41 min. agoBuy48¢5
41 min. agoBuy48¢21
Rules & resolution

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Italy and France, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If France wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If a result is awarded by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "No".

Event:
Italy vs. France
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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