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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

SportsUFCufcsportsmma
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1 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▲ +0.3%24h▲ +0.4%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?

8 outcomes
See all 8 outcomes

Total volume

$91.6K

24h vol.

$82.058

1w vol.

$102.058

1m vol.

$9K

Liquidity

$3.3K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 2¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Jan 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$326
2¢$106
2¢$59
2¢$1,000
1¢$70
1¢$173
0¢$416
0¢$5,060
0¢$1,956
0¢$5,075
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$9
3¢$56
3¢$52
4¢$100
5¢$220
5¢$24
5¢$300
9¢$200
9¢$21
10¢$144

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 51%Sells 49%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy3¢12
1 mo. agoBuy97¢3
1 mo. agoBuy97¢9
1 mo. agoBuy97¢1
1 mo. agoSell97¢1
1 mo. agoSell96¢11
1 mo. agoSell5¢11
1 mo. agoSell95¢1
1 mo. agoSell5¢1
1 mo. agoSell3¢3
1 mo. agoSell97¢3
1 mo. agoBuy97¢13
1 mo. agoSell97¢13
1 mo. agoSell4¢0
1 mo. agoBuy4¢0
1 mo. agoSell4¢3
1 mo. agoSell96¢3
1 mo. agoBuy4¢130
1 mo. agoSell4¢7
1 mo. agoBuy96¢76
1 mo. agoSell4¢20
1 mo. agoSell3¢18
1 mo. agoSell2¢8
1 mo. agoBuy3¢8
1 mo. agoSell3¢8
1 mo. agoBuy2¢106
1 mo. agoBuy98¢53
1 mo. agoBuy98¢53
1 mo. agoSell97¢23
1 mo. agoSell3¢23
1 mo. agoSell97¢1
1 mo. agoSell3¢1
1 mo. agoSell2¢415
1 mo. agoSell98¢115
1 mo. agoBuy2¢100
1 mo. agoBuy2¢200
1 mo. agoBuy4¢66
1 mo. agoSell4¢32
1 mo. agoSell4¢20
1 mo. agoSell3¢8
1 mo. agoSell3¢7
1 mo. agoSell96¢3
1 mo. agoSell4¢3
2 mo. agoSell3¢431
2 mo. agoBuy2¢194
2 mo. agoBuy2¢60
2 mo. agoBuy3¢34
2 mo. agoBuy4¢80
2 mo. agoBuy5¢20
2 mo. agoBuy5¢20

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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