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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
89 %
chance
Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$54K
24h vol.
$281.67
1w vol.
$5.8K
1m vol.
$20.2K
Liquidity
$1.5K
Bid / Ask
89¢ / 90¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
90¢
Start date
Jan 4, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 364 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 85.4% resolved YES. That is 4.4 points less often than their average price of 89.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 4¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 57¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 58¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 57¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 79 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 59¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 58¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 110 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 57¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 57¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 48¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 51¢ | 134 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 37 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 45 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 45 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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