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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Caio Borralho be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
0 %
chance
Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$168.1K
24h vol.
$118.7
1w vol.
$123.25
1m vol.
$1.3K
Liquidity
$2.7K
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Jan 4, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 99 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 49 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 49 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 37 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 37 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 27 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 510 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 64 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 446 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 500 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 45 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 86 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 46 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 80 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 54 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 9 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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