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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Economy
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9 %

chance

▼ −0.2%1h▼ −0.2%24h▼ −2.7%1W
Yes 9¢No 91¢

Total volume

$9.7K

24h vol.

$1.46

1w vol.

$1.46

1m vol.

$49.81

Liquidity

$362.599

Bid / Ask

4¢ / 13¢

Spread 9¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

Jan 29, 2026

End date

Feb 16, 2027

ends in 4 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
5¢$25
5¢$40
5¢$16
4¢$12
4¢$5
2¢$10
2¢$12
2¢$46
2¢$10
2¢$10
Asks (sell)Size
9¢$16
13¢$10
13¢$10
13¢$320
67¢$30
74¢$40
99¢$240
100¢$10,000
100¢$150

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 69%Sells 31%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy92¢10
1 mo. agoSell92¢10
1 mo. agoBuy7¢23
1 mo. agoBuy93¢23
1 mo. agoBuy93¢7
1 mo. agoBuy7¢7
1 mo. agoBuy12¢168
1 mo. agoSell13¢82
1 mo. agoSell12¢15
1 mo. agoBuy89¢6
1 mo. agoBuy89¢6
1 mo. agoBuy89¢6
1 mo. agoBuy89¢6
1 mo. agoBuy90¢10
1 mo. agoBuy90¢37
2 mo. agoSell89¢9
2 mo. agoSell11¢3
2 mo. agoSell11¢6
3 mo. agoBuy7¢119
3 mo. agoBuy93¢28
3 mo. agoBuy93¢10
3 mo. agoSell7¢5
3 mo. agoBuy93¢5
3 mo. agoSell7¢26
3 mo. agoSell7¢30
3 mo. agoSell7¢9
3 mo. agoSell6¢6
3 mo. agoSell4¢127
3 mo. agoBuy4¢55
3 mo. agoBuy4¢8
3 mo. agoBuy4¢30
3 mo. agoBuy4¢24
3 mo. agoBuy4¢9
3 mo. agoSell4¢67
3 mo. agoBuy4¢27
3 mo. agoBuy4¢6
3 mo. agoBuy4¢23
3 mo. agoBuy4¢11
3 mo. agoBuy9¢179
3 mo. agoBuy88¢85
3 mo. agoBuy88¢5
3 mo. agoBuy90¢6
3 mo. agoBuy91¢6
3 mo. agoBuy91¢6
3 mo. agoSell9¢5
3 mo. agoBuy91¢6
3 mo. agoSell5¢5
3 mo. agoSell5¢6
3 mo. agoSell3¢5
3 mo. agoSell3¢5

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.