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Updated 12 min. ago

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
34 %
chance
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
12 outcomesTotal volume
$1.4M
24h vol.
$8.7K
1w vol.
$20K
1m vol.
$249.8K
Liquidity
$16.4K
Bid / Ask
31¢ / 37¢
Spread 7¢
Last trade
30¢
Start date
Feb 2, 2026
End date
Jan 2, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 7¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 17 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 7 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 10 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 3 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 3 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 17 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 1 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 10 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 6 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 5 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 69¢ | 5 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 8 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 8 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 100 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 100 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 11 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 11 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 1 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 1 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 290 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 98 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 30 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 42 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 30 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 30 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 33 |
| 18 hr. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 18 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 10 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 10 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 9 |
| 21 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 1 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 6 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 6 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 16 |
| 23 hr. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 11 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 5 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 6 |
| 23 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 1 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 5 |
| 23 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 12 |
| 23 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 12 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 2 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 2 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 125 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 125 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 186 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 136 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 30 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 10 |
| 24 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 10 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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