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Updated 2 wk. ago

6 %
chance
Total volume
$237.4K
24h vol.
$55.7K
1w vol.
$104.5K
1m vol.
$108.6K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
5¢ / 6¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
6¢
Start date
Feb 17, 2026
End date
Dec 19, 2026
ends in 5 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 43,423 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 43,423 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 86 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 86 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 4,099 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 3,504 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 250 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 320 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 1,082 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 1,082 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 24 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 24 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 45 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 45 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 2 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 86 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 86 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 365 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 365 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 60 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 60 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 36 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 36 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 1,000 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 136 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 200 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 34 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 131 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 172 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 121 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 58 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 59 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 84 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 36 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 36 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 136 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 136 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 617 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 300 |
◆ Smart money
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.