MLS Cup Winner 2026 odds
Live implied probabilities across 29 outcomes · $21.8M traded · updated 22 hr. ago
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Nashville SC leads at 20 % · biggest 24h move: Vancouver Whitecaps FC +4.0 pp
#OutcomeChance24hVolume7d
- 1Nashville SC20 %▼ −0.1%$344.8K
- 2Vancouver Whitecaps FC19 %▲ +4.0%$406.8K
- 3Inter Miami CF15 %▲ +1.5%$132.7K
- 4St. Louis City SC8 %▲ +0.7%$106.9K
- 5Philadelphia Union8 %▲ +0.4%$250.1K
- 6Chicago Fire FC6 %▲ +1.4%$255.3K
- 7FC Dallas5 %▼ −0.4%$100.9K
- 8Houston Dynamo FC4 %▼ −0.1%$489.5K
- 9Los Angeles FC4 %▼ −1.7%$56.3K
- 10New England Revolution3 %▼ −0.2%$68.6K
- 11San Jose Earthquakes3 %▲ +0.3%$1.2M
- 12Charlotte FC3 %▲ +0.3%$2M
Show all 29 outcomesShow fewer
- 13FC Cincinnati2 %—$1.6M
- 14New York Red Bulls2 %▼ −0.9%$1.2M
- 15Seattle Sounders FC2 %▲ +1.8%$872K
- 16Orlando City SC2 %▼ −0.4%$2.4M
- 17Colorado Rapids1 %▲ +0.6%$143.3K
- 18Toronto FC1 %▲ +0.7%$108.9K
- 19LA Galaxy1 %▲ +0.4%$332.7K
- 20New York City FC1 %▲ +0.1%$713K
- 21D.C. United0 %▲ +0.3%$95.6K
- 22Columbus Crew0 %▼ −0.2%$3.2M
- 23Real Salt Lake0 %▲ +0.2%$3M
- 24San Diego FC0 %—$1.2M
- 25Atlanta United FC0 %—$103.8K
- 26Austin FC0 %—$137K
- 27Minnesota United FC0 %▼ −0.1%$496.9K
- 28CF Montréal0 %▼ −0.1%$63.1K
- 29Portland Timbers0 %▼ −0.1%$697.5K
Market Guy's AI runs research on these markets daily — sign up to see where it disagrees.
See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in MLS Cup Winner 2026?
- Nashville SC is the current favourite at 20 %, ahead of 28 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Nothing on Market Guy is financial advice — it is research tooling to help you think, not a signal to trade.