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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

SportsMLSmlssportsSoccer
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20 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▲ +1.9%24h▼ −1.7%1W
Yes 20¢No 80¢

MLS Cup Winner 2026

29 outcomes
See all 29 outcomes

Total volume

$406.9K

24h vol.

$191.564

1w vol.

$5K

1m vol.

$9K

Liquidity

$25.6K

Bid / Ask

20¢ / 20¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

19¢

Start date

Feb 17, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 2,878 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.5% resolved YES. That is 5.4 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
18¢$100
17¢$5
17¢$10
17¢$22
17¢$5
16¢$69
16¢$100
16¢$100
16¢$205
15¢$100
Asks (sell)Size
20¢$25
20¢$6
21¢$80
21¢$79
21¢$100
22¢$327
22¢$200
23¢$34
23¢$5
26¢$200

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 86%Sells 14%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy20¢53
1 mo. agoBuy80¢25
1 mo. agoBuy81¢27
1 mo. agoSell19¢1
1 mo. agoBuy19¢17
1 mo. agoSell19¢17
1 mo. agoBuy19¢6
1 mo. agoSell19¢6
1 mo. agoBuy19¢6
1 mo. agoSell19¢6
1 mo. agoSell18¢77
1 mo. agoBuy18¢47
1 mo. agoBuy18¢30
1 mo. agoBuy19¢81
1 mo. agoBuy81¢73
1 mo. agoBuy81¢8
1 mo. agoBuy82¢269
1 mo. agoBuy18¢269
1 mo. agoBuy19¢49
1 mo. agoBuy81¢19
1 mo. agoSell19¢30
1 mo. agoBuy82¢2
1 mo. agoBuy18¢2
1 mo. agoBuy82¢90
1 mo. agoBuy18¢90
1 mo. agoBuy82¢79
1 mo. agoBuy18¢19
1 mo. agoBuy18¢30
1 mo. agoSell82¢30
1 mo. agoBuy19¢106
1 mo. agoBuy81¢73
1 mo. agoSell19¢12
1 mo. agoSell18¢21
1 mo. agoBuy18¢114
1 mo. agoSell18¢84
1 mo. agoBuy82¢30
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy82¢18
1 mo. agoBuy17¢1
1 mo. agoSell83¢5
1 mo. agoBuy18¢12
1 mo. agoBuy82¢14
1 mo. agoBuy18¢14
1 mo. agoBuy82¢7
1 mo. agoBuy18¢7
1 mo. agoBuy82¢40
1 mo. agoBuy18¢40
1 mo. agoBuy82¢10
1 mo. agoBuy18¢10

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Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Underlying asset

How far is the move, really?

Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

Unlock to see the historical frequency and derivatives positioning.

Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature

See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.

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