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Updated 2 mo. ago

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

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65 %

chance

▲ +0.5%1h▲ +0.5%24h▼ −5.5%1W
Yes 65¢No 35¢

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

7 outcomes

Total volume

$657.7K

24h vol.

$210

1w vol.

$3.9K

1m vol.

$34.6K

Liquidity

$32.1K

Bid / Ask

64¢ / 66¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

69¢

Start date

Feb 16, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
52¢$20
51¢$10
50¢$10
49¢$61
47¢$5
46¢$43
45¢$375
42¢$10
41¢$5
40¢$35
Asks (sell)Size
55¢$9
56¢$82
68¢$175
69¢$900
71¢$420
72¢$100
75¢$650
76¢$1,000
78¢$70
79¢$275

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 94%Sells 6%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 mo. agoBuy56¢18
2 mo. agoBuy44¢18
2 mo. agoBuy62¢161
2 mo. agoBuy30¢61
2 mo. agoBuy43¢100
2 mo. agoBuy59¢1,360
2 mo. agoBuy29¢80
2 mo. agoSell64¢33
2 mo. agoBuy37¢500
2 mo. agoSell62¢33
2 mo. agoBuy45¢500
2 mo. agoBuy46¢5
2 mo. agoBuy46¢50
2 mo. agoSell53¢50
2 mo. agoSell51¢80
2 mo. agoBuy50¢30
2 mo. agoBuy51¢30
2 mo. agoSell51¢30
2 mo. agoSell50¢50
2 mo. agoSell51¢20
2 mo. agoBuy50¢30
2 mo. agoBuy46¢878
2 mo. agoBuy53¢500
2 mo. agoSell46¢119
2 mo. agoBuy54¢10
2 mo. agoBuy54¢5
2 mo. agoBuy54¢5
2 mo. agoBuy54¢50
2 mo. agoBuy54¢10
2 mo. agoBuy55¢15
2 mo. agoBuy55¢5
2 mo. agoBuy55¢5
2 mo. agoBuy57¢20
2 mo. agoSell43¢134
2 mo. agoSell55¢5
2 mo. agoBuy55¢5
2 mo. agoSell55¢5
2 mo. agoBuy55¢5
2 mo. agoBuy52¢10
2 mo. agoSell52¢10
2 mo. agoBuy51¢1,854
2 mo. agoBuy49¢990
2 mo. agoBuy50¢144
2 mo. agoBuy50¢10
2 mo. agoBuy50¢710
2 mo. agoSell49¢10
2 mo. agoBuy49¢10
2 mo. agoBuy50¢736
2 mo. agoBuy50¢100
2 mo. agoBuy50¢200

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