Crypto prediction market odds
Protocol upgrades, listings, ETF decisions and token milestones. Crypto markets tend to reprice faster than anything else on this page — a rumour on Friday night shows up in the odds before it shows up in a headline.
First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?None by December 25, 202692 %5 outcomes$427.2KBitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026S&P 50069 %3 outcomes$949.1KFirst to list tokenized stocks in the US?Robinhood40 %5 outcomes$76.6KBitcoin best month in 2026?August86 %4 outcomes$144.5K
By date & threshold
Events where the outcomes build on each other rather than compete — cumulative odds by deadline or by threshold.
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?↑ 85,00063 %19 outcomes$7.7MWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?↑ $10078 %21 outcomes$2.7MWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?↑ 90,00057 %30 outcomes$70.2MWhat price will Ethereum hit in October?↑ 2,50075 %19 outcomes$1.9MWhat price will Ethereum hit in 2026?↓ 2,25068 %22 outcomes$16.6MSTRC hits $100 by…December 3176 %3 outcomes$526.1KPapertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?$25M96 %8 outcomes$178.7KWhat price will Solana hit in October?↑ 11070 %19 outcomes$380KPredict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?$50M97 %11 outcomes$7.1MWill Predict.fun launch a token by ___?September 30, 202798 %7 outcomes$463.5KTotal commitments for the 1win ($1w) public sale$10M94 %6 outcomes$46.2KWhat will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?↑ $77094 %15 outcomes$142KWhat price will XRP hit in October?↑ 1.4050 %17 outcomes$273KWhat will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in October 2026?↑ $17686 %19 outcomes$32KWhat price will XRP hit in 2026?↓ 1.2073 %18 outcomes$421.1KWhen will Bitcoin hit $150k?by December 31, 202733 %5 outcomes$2.9MWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in October 2026?↑ $15295 %33 outcomes$65.6KVariational FDV above ___ one day after launch?$200M98 %10 outcomes$3.6MWhat price will Solana hit in 2026?↓ 9052 %20 outcomes$1.9MWhat price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?↓ 7576 %18 outcomes$2M
Frequently asked questions
- What moves crypto prediction market odds?
- Unlock schedules, ETF and listing decisions, protocol upgrades and regulatory filings. These markets reprice faster than anything else here — a weekend rumour usually shows in the odds before it shows in a headline.
- Do these odds predict the token price?
- Only where the market asks about price directly. Most crypto markets are about events — an approval, an upgrade, a listing — and a high probability on one of those is not a forecast of what the token does afterwards.
Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Nothing on Market Guy is financial advice — it is research tooling to help you think, not a signal to trade.