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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
3 %
chance
MLB: 2026 NL MVP
8 outcomesTotal volume
$226.333
Liquidity
$1.7K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 4¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
5¢
Start date
Feb 19, 2026
End date
Nov 13, 2026
ends in 3 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 25 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 16 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 16 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 19 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 19 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 3 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 3 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 982 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 982 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 990 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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