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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
90 %
chance
Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?
7 outcomesTotal volume
$219K
24h vol.
$2.9K
1w vol.
$22.1K
1m vol.
$171.3K
Liquidity
$21.4K
Bid / Ask
89¢ / 90¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
89¢
Start date
Mar 12, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 18 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 18 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 294 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 294 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 99 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 99 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 268 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 268 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 88 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 88 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 1,104 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 88 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 214 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 200 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 116 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 200 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 185 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 44 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 44 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 115 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 115 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 885 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 177 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 200 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 300 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 108 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 177 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 47 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 130 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 2,088 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 397 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 150 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 792 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 200 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 100 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 194 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 15 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 30 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 100 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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