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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?
6 %
chance
Total volume
$3.5K
24h vol.
$405
1w vol.
$410
1m vol.
$2.1K
Liquidity
$1.3K
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 7¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
10¢
Start date
Apr 20, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 133 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 5.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.3%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 3¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 405 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 300 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 220 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 220 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 200 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 200 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 150 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 379 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 379 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 300 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 194 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 95 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 113 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 114 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 51¢ | 12 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 12 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 3 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 3 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 6 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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