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Updated 1 mo. ago

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

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4 %

chance

▼ −1.0%1h▼ −1.0%24h▼ −2.0%1W
Yes 4¢No 96¢

Total volume

$13.4K

24h vol.

$10.402

1w vol.

$15.802

1m vol.

$575.812

Liquidity

$611.47

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 5¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

6¢

Start date

May 15, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$15
3¢$148
2¢$668
1¢$1,314
Asks (sell)Size
7¢$7
8¢$75
10¢$55
11¢$100
14¢$81
15¢$138
17¢$29
20¢$100
76¢$20
92¢$30

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 55%Sells 45%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy5¢19
1 mo. agoSell7¢3
1 mo. agoSell5¢5
1 mo. agoBuy95¢10
1 mo. agoSell5¢5
1 mo. agoBuy5¢5
1 mo. agoSell6¢5
1 mo. agoBuy6¢5
1 mo. agoBuy94¢5
1 mo. agoBuy6¢0
1 mo. agoBuy6¢5
1 mo. agoBuy93¢1,246
1 mo. agoBuy7¢70
1 mo. agoSell93¢1,176
1 mo. agoSell7¢5
1 mo. agoSell93¢5
1 mo. agoBuy93¢106
1 mo. agoSell93¢106
1 mo. agoSell92¢1
1 mo. agoBuy92¢1
1 mo. agoSell92¢3
1 mo. agoBuy92¢3
1 mo. agoSell7¢2
1 mo. agoSell93¢2
1 mo. agoSell92¢11
1 mo. agoBuy92¢11
1 mo. agoBuy93¢1
1 mo. agoSell93¢1
1 mo. agoBuy93¢108
1 mo. agoSell93¢108
1 mo. agoBuy92¢10
1 mo. agoBuy8¢10
1 mo. agoSell91¢10
1 mo. agoBuy91¢2
1 mo. agoSell9¢8
1 mo. agoBuy93¢2
1 mo. agoSell93¢2
1 mo. agoSell91¢1
1 mo. agoSell9¢1
2 mo. agoBuy92¢11
2 mo. agoBuy8¢11
2 mo. agoBuy91¢50
2 mo. agoBuy9¢50
2 mo. agoBuy91¢82
2 mo. agoSell91¢13
2 mo. agoSell91¢29
2 mo. agoBuy9¢10
2 mo. agoBuy9¢10
2 mo. agoBuy10¢10
2 mo. agoBuy10¢10

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.