Updated 18 min. ago

Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?
9 %
chance
Market brief
- Last 50 trades: 31 buys, 19 sells; the largest was $1.06K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 7% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (399 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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Jensen Huang divorce by...?
2 outcomes- March 31, 202725 %
- December 31, 20269 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$236.1K
24h vol.
$9.7K
Liquidity
$47.7K
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$236.1K
Bid / Ask
8¢ / 9¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
9¢
Start date
Nov 8, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 min. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 15 |
| 55 min. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 8 |
| 59 min. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 1 |
| 59 min. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 50 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 56 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 56 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 556 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 33 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 1 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 12 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 1 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 1,157 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 0 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 20 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 12 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 1 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 109 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 22 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 16 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 11 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 5 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 6 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 53 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 0 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 500 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 4 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 0 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 236 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 5 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 0 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 0 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 236 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 236 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 3 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 0 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 286 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 3 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 0 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 286 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 0 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 286 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 2 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 1 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 108 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 108 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 108 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 111 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 6 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 1 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 109 |
Rules & resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jensen or Lori Huang file for divorce or announce their definitive intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from either Lori or Jensen Huang, or their official authorized representatives, of their definitive intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when or whether the divorce ultimately occurs. Announcements that they are considering or open to a divorce will not qualify. The resolution source will be statements from Jensen Huang and/or Lori Huang, and their representatives, as well as relevant court records; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Event:
- Jensen Huang divorce by...?
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