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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars be the top song for 2026?

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0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$2.3K

24h vol.

$1K

1w vol.

$1K

1m vol.

$1K

Liquidity

$1.5K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jul 15, 2026

End date

Feb 1, 2027

ends in 3 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$49
1¢$7
1¢$156
2¢$120
2¢$21
9¢$10
9¢$20
10¢$70
10¢$30
10¢$145

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 61%Sells 39%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoSell0¢20
4 wk. agoBuy0¢20
4 wk. agoBuy0¢1,000
4 wk. agoSell0¢203
4 wk. agoSell0¢76
4 wk. agoSell0¢24
4 wk. agoSell0¢14
4 wk. agoSell0¢20
4 wk. agoSell0¢20
4 wk. agoSell0¢20
4 wk. agoSell0¢24
4 wk. agoSell0¢23
4 wk. agoSell0¢25
4 wk. agoSell0¢23
4 wk. agoSell0¢30
4 wk. agoSell0¢39
4 wk. agoSell0¢20
4 wk. agoSell0¢301
4 wk. agoSell0¢114
4 wk. agoSell0¢25
2 mo. agoSell0¢45
2 mo. agoBuy0¢25
2 mo. agoBuy0¢6
2 mo. agoBuy0¢14
2 mo. agoBuy100¢20
2 mo. agoBuy0¢20
2 mo. agoSell0¢10
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10
3 mo. agoBuy100¢41
3 mo. agoBuy0¢41
3 mo. agoBuy100¢30
3 mo. agoBuy0¢30
3 mo. agoBuy100¢10
3 mo. agoBuy0¢10
3 mo. agoBuy100¢25
3 mo. agoBuy0¢25
3 mo. agoSell0¢38
3 mo. agoBuy0¢38
3 mo. agoSell0¢41
3 mo. agoBuy0¢41
3 mo. agoBuy100¢10
3 mo. agoBuy0¢10
3 mo. agoBuy100¢50
3 mo. agoBuy0¢35
3 mo. agoBuy0¢15
3 mo. agoBuy100¢75
3 mo. agoBuy0¢40
3 mo. agoBuy0¢35
3 mo. agoBuy100¢50
3 mo. agoBuy0¢50

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.