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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the top song for 2026?

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0 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Top Spotify Song 2026

11 outcomes
See all 11 outcomes

Total volume

$2.8K

24h vol.

$375

1w vol.

$375

1m vol.

$1.6K

Liquidity

$1.5K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jul 15, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$387
1¢$31
1¢$156
2¢$100
2¢$50
2¢$14
3¢$63
6¢$40
6¢$100
9¢$45

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 51%Sells 49%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell0¢375
1 mo. agoBuy0¢69
1 mo. agoBuy0¢6
1 mo. agoBuy0¢130
1 mo. agoBuy0¢50
1 mo. agoBuy0¢100
1 mo. agoBuy0¢20
2 mo. agoBuy100¢10
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10
2 mo. agoBuy100¢10
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10
2 mo. agoSell0¢119
2 mo. agoBuy0¢27
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10
2 mo. agoBuy0¢5
2 mo. agoBuy0¢15
2 mo. agoBuy0¢7
2 mo. agoBuy0¢36
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10
2 mo. agoSell0¢5
2 mo. agoBuy0¢5
2 mo. agoBuy1¢70
2 mo. agoSell2¢36
2 mo. agoSell1¢14
2 mo. agoSell1¢20
2 mo. agoSell0¢315
2 mo. agoBuy0¢42
2 mo. agoBuy0¢26
2 mo. agoBuy0¢22
2 mo. agoBuy0¢19
2 mo. agoBuy0¢66
2 mo. agoBuy0¢8
2 mo. agoBuy0¢9
2 mo. agoBuy0¢12
2 mo. agoBuy1¢12
2 mo. agoBuy1¢100
2 mo. agoBuy4¢376
2 mo. agoSell7¢96
2 mo. agoSell7¢100
2 mo. agoSell1¢10
2 mo. agoSell1¢20
2 mo. agoSell1¢100
2 mo. agoSell1¢6
2 mo. agoSell1¢44
2 mo. agoBuy0¢370
2 mo. agoSell1¢5
2 mo. agoSell1¢50
2 mo. agoSell0¢34
2 mo. agoSell0¢280

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.