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Updated 3 days ago

Will Andorra win the UEFA EURO 2028?

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4 %

chance

▲ +0.4%1h▲ +3.5%24h▲ +3.5%1W
Yes 4¢No 96¢

Total volume

$3.2K

24h vol.

$2.1K

1w vol.

$2.1K

1m vol.

$2.1K

Liquidity

$29.8K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 7¢

Spread 7¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Jul 20, 2026

End date

Jul 24, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 5¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$50
Asks (sell)Size
5¢$100
6¢$60
6¢$15
9¢$140
10¢$600
11¢$380
11¢$600
12¢$774
13¢$774
14¢$774

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 62%Sells 38%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 days agoSell0¢630
4 days agoBuy0¢630
4 days agoSell5¢30
4 days agoBuy5¢30
4 days agoSell5¢30
4 days agoBuy5¢30
4 days agoSell2¢1
4 days agoBuy2¢1
4 days agoBuy0¢1,319
4 days agoSell0¢390
4 days agoSell0¢44
4 days agoSell0¢100
4 days agoSell0¢50
4 days agoSell0¢305
4 days agoSell0¢430
2 mo. agoBuy100¢100
2 mo. agoBuy0¢100
2 mo. agoBuy100¢100
2 mo. agoBuy0¢100
2 mo. agoBuy100¢18
2 mo. agoBuy0¢18
2 mo. agoBuy100¢12
2 mo. agoBuy0¢12
2 mo. agoBuy100¢100
2 mo. agoBuy0¢100
2 mo. agoBuy100¢100
2 mo. agoBuy0¢100
2 mo. agoBuy100¢40
2 mo. agoBuy0¢40
2 mo. agoBuy100¢5
2 mo. agoBuy0¢5
2 mo. agoBuy100¢40
2 mo. agoBuy0¢40
2 mo. agoBuy100¢8
2 mo. agoBuy0¢8
2 mo. agoBuy100¢30
2 mo. agoBuy0¢30
2 mo. agoBuy100¢20
2 mo. agoBuy0¢20
2 mo. agoBuy100¢85
2 mo. agoBuy0¢85
2 mo. agoBuy100¢20
2 mo. agoBuy0¢20
2 mo. agoSell0¢5
2 mo. agoBuy0¢5
2 mo. agoSell0¢5
2 mo. agoBuy0¢5
2 mo. agoBuy0¢47
2 mo. agoSell0¢35
2 mo. agoSell0¢12

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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