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Updated 3 days ago
Will Luxembourg win the UEFA EURO 2028?
4 %
chance
UEFA EURO 2028: Winner
50 outcomes- Spain23 %
- France20 %
- England16 %
- Germany10 %
- Portugal10 %
- Norway7 %
- Lithuania6 %
- Armenia6 %
- Netherlands6 %
- Faroe Islands5 %
- Kazakhstan4 %
- Belgium4 %
- Azerbaijan4 %
- Luxembourg4 %
- Finland4 %
- Gibraltar4 %
- Kosovo4 %
- North Macedonia4 %
- Andorra4 %
- Italy4 %
- Liechtenstein3 %
- Latvia3 %
- Iceland3 %
- Cyprus3 %
- Georgia3 %
- Estonia3 %
- San Marino3 %
- Belarus3 %
- Russia3 %
- Switzerland3 %
- Malta2 %
- Moldova2 %
- Romania2 %
- Israel2 %
- Austria2 %
- Slovenia2 %
- Bosnia and Herzegovina2 %
- Greece2 %
- Turkey1 %
- Poland1 %
- Croatia1 %
- Denmark1 %
- Sweden1 %
- Ukraine1 %
- Serbia0 %
- Hungary0 %
- Wales0 %
- Czech Republic0 %
- Albania0 %
- Bulgaria0 %
Total volume
$1K
24h vol.
$800.46
1w vol.
$800.46
1m vol.
$825.27
Liquidity
$27.8K
Last trade
1¢
Start date
Jul 20, 2026
End date
Jul 24, 2028
ends in 2 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (40)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 days ago | Sell | 1¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 96¢ | 27 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 27 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 1¢ | 1 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 1¢ | 1 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 722 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 528 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 44 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 100 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 7 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 7 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 7 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 7 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 27 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 7 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 30 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 30 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 15 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 15 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 22 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 22 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 50 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 50 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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