UEFA EURO 2028: Winner odds
Live implied probabilities across 38 outcomes · $111K traded · updated 1 wk. ago
Resolves Jul 24, 2028
Spain leads at 23 % · biggest 24h move: Kosovo +2.1 pp
#OutcomeChance24hVolume7d
- 1Spain23 %—$6.7K
- 2France20 %—$5.9K
- 3England16 %▼ −1.0%$5.4K
- 4Germany10 %▼ −0.5%$5.3K
- 5Portugal10 %—$2.8K
- 6Norway7 %▼ −0.1%$8.5K
- 7Netherlands6 %—$3.8K
- 8Belgium4 %▲ +0.2%$5.6K
- 9Italy4 %▲ +0.1%$3.5K
- 10Switzerland3 %▲ +0.3%$3K
- 11Kosovo2 %▲ +2.1%$3.2K
- 12Greece2 %—$4.7K
Show all 38 outcomesShow fewer
- 13Turkey1 %—$4.6K
- 14Croatia1 %▼ −0.2%$3.1K
- 15Denmark1 %▼ −0.2%$2.8K
- 16Albania1 %▲ +0.8%$3.2K
- 17Sweden1 %▼ −0.1%$3.4K
- 18Ukraine1 %▲ +0.2%$2K
- 19Poland1 %▲ +0.1%$2.7K
- 20Austria1 %▼ −0.1%$2.6K
- 21Serbia0 %▲ +0.3%$2K
- 22Hungary0 %▲ +0.2%$2.6K
- 23Wales0 %▲ +0.2%$2.6K
- 24Czech Republic0 %—$2.2K
- 25Slovakia0 %▼ −0.4%$1.2K
- 26Belarus0 %▼ −0.4%$303.92
- 27Estonia0 %▼ −0.3%$579.285
- 28Bosnia and Herzegovina0 %—$1.8K
- 29Bulgaria0 %▼ −0.1%$937.14
- 30Finland0 %▼ −0.4%$2.1K
- 31Iceland0 %—$1.6K
- 32Montenegro0 %▼ −0.1%$895.236
- 33North Macedonia0 %▼ −0.1%$857.325
- 34Northern Ireland0 %▼ −0.5%$1.2K
- 35Republic of Ireland0 %—$2.2K
- 36Romania0 %—$1.6K
- 37Scotland0 %—$1.7K
- 38Slovenia0 %▼ −0.1%$1.6K
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See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in UEFA EURO 2028: Winner?
- Spain is the current favourite at 23 %, ahead of 37 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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