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Updated 3 wk. ago
Will Milan finish first in UEL league phase?
5 %
chance
UEFA Europa League: League Phase Winner
36 outcomes- Benfica17 %
- Juventus16 %
- Bayer Leverkusen14 %
- Bournemouth11 %
- Sunderland7 %
- Lyon7 %
- Milan5 %
- Rennes4 %
- Besiktas4 %
- Celta Vigo3 %
- Crystal Palace3 %
- Olympiacos3 %
- TSG Hoffenheim3 %
- Marseille2 %
- Sparta Prague2 %
- Union Saint-Gilloise2 %
- Real Sociedad2 %
- Torreense2 %
- Red Bull Salzburg2 %
- Anderlecht1 %
- Ferencvaros1 %
- AZ1 %
- Sturm Graz1 %
- Celtic0 %
- Dinamo Zagreb0 %
- Viktoria Plzen0 %
- Celje0 %
- Jagiellonia Bialystok0 %
- Omonia0 %
- OFI0 %
- Hapoel Be'er Sheva0 %
- Levski Sofia0 %
- Ararat-Armenia0 %
- Lillestrom0 %
- NEC0 %
- Lech Poznan0 %
Total volume
$1.1K
24h vol.
$1K
1w vol.
$1K
1m vol.
$1.1K
Liquidity
$9.6K
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 6¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
6¢
Start date
Sep 8, 2026
End date
Feb 28, 2027
ends in 4 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 669 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.8% resolved YES. That is 3.9 points more often than their average price of 9.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 43 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 43 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 8 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 8 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 13 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 13 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 8 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 8 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 21 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 21 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 27 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 27 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 87 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 87 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 87 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 87 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 69 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 69 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 86 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 86 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 54 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 54 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 3 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 3 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 2 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
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