UEFA Europa League: League Phase Winner odds
Live implied probabilities across 36 outcomes · $54.7K traded · updated 22 hr. ago
Resolves Feb 28, 2027
Benfica leads at 21 % · biggest 24h move: AZ −18.2 pp
#OutcomeChance24hVolume7d
- 1Benfica21 %▲ +3.0%$5.7K
- 2Juventus16 %▼ −0.5%$3.4K
- 3Bayer Leverkusen14 %—$2.8K
- 4Bournemouth11 %—$2.3K
- 5Sunderland7 %▲ +0.1%$1.9K
- 6Lyon7 %—$3.4K
- 7Milan5 %▼ −2.0%$1.1K
- 8Rennes4 %▼ −1.6%$1K
- 9Besiktas4 %▼ −2.3%$1.7K
- 10Celta Vigo3 %▼ −0.5%$1.4K
- 11Crystal Palace3 %▼ −3.7%$1.2K
- 12Olympiacos3 %▼ −0.8%$1.3K
Show all 36 outcomesShow fewer
- 13TSG Hoffenheim3 %▼ −6.2%$1.1K
- 14Marseille2 %▼ −8.8%$1.1K
- 15Sparta Prague2 %▼ −16.9%$1K
- 16Union Saint-Gilloise2 %▼ −8.1%$1K
- 17Real Sociedad2 %▼ −3.3%$1K
- 18Torreense2 %▼ −17.5%$1K
- 19Red Bull Salzburg2 %▼ −0.5%$1.8K
- 20Anderlecht1 %▼ −17.7%$1K
- 21Ferencvaros1 %▼ −18.1%$1K
- 22AZ1 %▼ −18.2%$1K
- 23Sturm Graz1 %▼ −9.5%$1K
- 24Dinamo Zagreb0 %▼ −0.1%$1K
- 25Celtic0 %▼ −0.1%$1K
- 26Viktoria Plzen0 %—$1K
- 27Celje0 %▼ −0.1%$1K
- 28Jagiellonia Bialystok0 %▲ +0.1%$2.2K
- 29Omonia0 %—$1K
- 30OFI0 %▼ −2.8%$1.3K
- 31Hapoel Be'er Sheva0 %—$1K
- 32Lillestrom0 %—$1K
- 33Levski Sofia0 %—$1K
- 34Ararat-Armenia0 %—$1K
- 35NEC0 %—$1.6K
- 36Lech Poznan0 %▼ −0.1%$1.3K
Market Guy's AI runs research on these markets daily — sign up to see where it disagrees.
See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in UEFA Europa League: League Phase Winner?
- Benfica is the current favourite at 21 %, ahead of 35 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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