← Dashboard · Sports
Updated 4 wk. ago
Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase?
14 %
chance
UEFA Europa League: League Phase Winner
36 outcomes- Juventus16 %
- Benfica14 %
- Bayer Leverkusen14 %
- Bournemouth11 %
- Sunderland7 %
- Lyon7 %
- Milan5 %
- Rennes4 %
- Besiktas4 %
- Celta Vigo3 %
- Crystal Palace3 %
- Olympiacos3 %
- TSG Hoffenheim3 %
- Marseille2 %
- Sparta Prague2 %
- Union Saint-Gilloise2 %
- Real Sociedad2 %
- Torreense2 %
- Red Bull Salzburg2 %
- Anderlecht1 %
- Ferencvaros1 %
- AZ1 %
- Sturm Graz1 %
- Celtic0 %
- Dinamo Zagreb0 %
- Viktoria Plzen0 %
- Celje0 %
- Jagiellonia Bialystok0 %
- Omonia0 %
- OFI0 %
- Hapoel Be'er Sheva0 %
- Levski Sofia0 %
- Ararat-Armenia0 %
- Lillestrom0 %
- NEC0 %
- Lech Poznan0 %
Total volume
$11.9K
24h vol.
$6.1K
1w vol.
$6.3K
1m vol.
$9.9K
Liquidity
$23K
Bid / Ask
14¢ / 15¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
14¢
Start date
Sep 8, 2026
End date
Feb 28, 2027
ends in 4 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 669 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.8% resolved YES. That is 3.9 points more often than their average price of 9.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 148 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 148 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 92 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 92 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 1,597 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 200 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 200 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 200 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 37 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 240 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 148 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 148 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 40 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.