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Updated 12 min. ago
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?
5 %
chance
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
3 outcomes- December 3128 %
- November 3020 %
- October 315 %
Total volume
$257K
24h vol.
$49.4K
1w vol.
$118.7K
1m vol.
$255.7K
Liquidity
$50.1K
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 5¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
Sep 17, 2026
End date
Nov 1, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 1,033 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 710 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 9 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 307 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 8 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 18 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 18 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 430 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 18 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 401 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 11 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 200 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 93 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 22 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 18 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 16 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 16 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 16 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 40 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 40 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 20 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 20 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 3,854 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 784 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 42 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 500 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 500 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 150 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 100 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 100 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 150 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 7 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 710 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 9 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 296 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 445 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 21 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 20 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 20 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 177 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 177 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 16 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 16 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 3 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 3 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 2 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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