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Updated 14 min. ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Economy
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0 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▼ −0.1%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Fed Decision in October?

5 outcomes
See all 5 outcomes

Total volume

$8.9M

24h vol.

$1.3M

1w vol.

$3M

1m vol.

$7.8M

Liquidity

$840.8K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jun 18, 2026

End date

Oct 29, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$338,229
0¢$298,887
0¢$52,856
0¢$37,181
1¢$10,500
1¢$5
1¢$10,005
1¢$2,053
1¢$156
2¢$600

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 hr. agoBuy0¢101
4 hr. agoSell0¢101
4 hr. agoSell100¢15
4 hr. agoSell0¢15
5 hr. agoBuy0¢1,000
5 hr. agoSell0¢1,000
6 hr. agoBuy0¢1,000
6 hr. agoSell0¢1,000
7 hr. agoSell100¢128
7 hr. agoSell0¢128
7 hr. agoSell100¢128
7 hr. agoSell0¢128
7 hr. agoSell100¢128
7 hr. agoSell0¢128
7 hr. agoSell100¢129
7 hr. agoSell0¢129
7 hr. agoSell100¢131
7 hr. agoSell0¢131
8 hr. agoBuy0¢120,000
8 hr. agoSell0¢120,000
8 hr. agoBuy0¢1,000
8 hr. agoSell0¢1,000
11 hr. agoBuy0¢150
11 hr. agoSell0¢150
14 hr. agoSell0¢49,421
14 hr. agoBuy0¢100
14 hr. agoSell100¢110
14 hr. agoBuy0¢10
14 hr. agoSell100¢60
14 hr. agoSell100¢2,903
14 hr. agoBuy0¢5
14 hr. agoBuy0¢40,000
14 hr. agoSell100¢333
14 hr. agoSell100¢386
14 hr. agoSell100¢188
14 hr. agoSell100¢200
14 hr. agoSell100¢193
14 hr. agoBuy0¢4,933
14 hr. agoSell0¢1,066,584
14 hr. agoBuy0¢45,067
14 hr. agoBuy0¢1,000,000
14 hr. agoSell100¢155
14 hr. agoBuy0¢6
14 hr. agoBuy0¢100
14 hr. agoBuy0¢20,000
14 hr. agoBuy0¢6
14 hr. agoBuy0¢150
14 hr. agoBuy0¢100
14 hr. agoBuy0¢1,000
14 hr. agoBuy0¢5,000

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